--- title: "Open-weight models — AI hype score and trend · Above the Fog" canonical_url: https://abovethefog.app/topics/open_weights as_of: 2026-09-27 updated: 2026-09-28T22:02:40Z --- # Open-weight models (💡 Concepts) [Home](https://abovethefog.app/index.md) › [Topics](https://abovethefog.app/topics.md) › Open-weight models Open-weight models is 💤 Quiet on Above the Fog’s AI hype radar: a hype score of 3 out of 100 on Sep 27, 2026, 12 points lower than 7 days before. Its attention is within the normal range across the monitored sources. Its last hype episode in the 30-day window ran from Sep 22 to Sep 22 (peak 31 on Sep 22). Open-weight models and the rivalry between Chinese and Western labs on this front. First seen on HN: front-page time (ClickHouse) · Sep 13 — the first monitored source to go above normal for it in the last 14 days. Why this stage: within the normal range across monitored sources. - **Stage:** 💤 Quiet — within the normal range across the monitored sources - **Hype score:** 2.6 / 100 · +0.5 in 1 day · −12.1 in 7 days - **In hype since:** not in hype now - **Peak, 30 days:** 31 on Sep 22, 2026 - **Category:** 💡 Concepts - **Sources above normal:** 0 of 25 scoring it (0 independent families) - **Stories in 7 days:** 383 - **Share of voice:** 0.7% of the radar’s attention in 7 days ## Where the attention comes from “Normal” is the median of the source’s previous 14 normal days for this topic. A source is above normal when its value is at least 30% over that level and stands out from its usual day-to-day variation (z ≥ 2); the share is the part of the hype score that source explains. “× normal” is left blank when the normal level is 0. | Source | Metric | Latest | Normal | × normal | Above normal | Share of score | |---|---|---:|---:|---:|---|---:| | Luma (SF AI events) | events | 7 (Sep 26) | 4 | 1.6× | no | 62% | | Wikipedia | pageviews | 169 | 155 | 1.1× | no | 38% | | Podcasts (Apple + niche RSS) | items | 2 | 1.9 | 1× | no | 0% | | Bluesky | trending | 0 (Sep 26) | 0 | — | no | 0% | | Cerebral Valley (AI events) | events | 2 (Sep 26) | 2 | 1× | no | 0% | | Developer forums (Cursor, OpenAI, Hugging Face) | items | 0 | 0 | — | no | 0% | | GitHub Trending | trending | 0 (Sep 26) | 0 | — | no | 0% | | Google Trends (Trending now) | trending | 0 (Sep 26) | 0 | — | no | 0% | ## Stories behind it 1. [JEV almost dead: CLM vs JEV](https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1wouby6/) — Reddit (r/LocalLLaMA) · Sep 24 · score 410 · 180 comments 2. [On Ezra Klein’s Podcast With Jensen Huang](https://thezvi.substack.com/p/on-ezra-kleins-podcast-with-jensen) — AI newsletters (RSS) (Zvi) · Sep 25 · score 135 · 50 comments 3. [The Economics of Open-Weight Inference](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49801218) — HN: front-page time (ClickHouse) (data.ornn.com) · Sep 22 · score 52 · 26 comments 4. [Xiaomi debuts open-weight omnimodal models MiMo-V2.6 Pro and Flash; Pro allegedly performs “on par with Opus 5 and GPT-5.6 Sol across most agent benchmarks”](https://www.techmeme.com/260921/p52#a260921p52) — Techmeme (Xiaomi) · Sep 21 · score 5 · 17 comments 5. [Open Source AI Week 2026 \| Open Weight Debate Night](https://luma.com/592fcwx2) — Luma (SF AI events) (Open Source AI Week) · score 38 6. [Does an open-weight decision model beat a hosted one? Jev vs. Laya](https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49806080) — Hacker News (astgl.com) · Sep 22 · score 15 · 5 comments 7. [Capable yet Parsimonious: Extracting and Characterizing Hidden Chain-of-Thought in Frontier Models](https://huggingface.co/papers/2609.26637) — Hugging Face Daily Papers (hf-papers) · Sep 24 · score 16 · 2 comments 8. [The "rogue agents leaked 53 images" story follows a now very familiar pattern: frame every failure as "models too powerful to contain" 🫨 demand regulation that locks out open-weight rivals 🤓 position…](https://kolektiva.social/@oatmeal/117336878071618682) — Mastodon (fediverse) (kolektiva.social) · Sep 26 · score 9 · 0 comments 9. [H Company Ships Holo4, Open-Weight Agents That Work Any Software Interface](https://dev.to/mikefluff/h-company-ships-holo4-open-weight-agents-that-work-any-software-interface-3pnp) — DEV Community (dev.to) (#ai) · Sep 28 · score 1 · 1 comment 10. [Open Intelligence: Running Open Models in Production](https://partiful.com/e/Ub4MpEKKtSjzn8Ykm0nd) — Cerebral Valley (AI events) (San Francisco, CA) 11. [It's here: Blackwell Pro 5k 48GB](https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLM/comments/1wpfxje/) — Reddit (r/LocalLLM) · Sep 24 · score 512 · 127 comments 12. [I built a news-driven world map of current conflicts with Claude Code](https://www.reddit.com/r/ClaudeAI/comments/1wqztx3/) — Reddit (r/ClaudeAI) · Sep 26 · score 542 · 103 comments ## Themes What its stories of the last 7 days are about: the 298 of them the Jev model kept as about the scene, by theme (a story can carry several themes): - [Models](https://abovethefog.app/themes/models.md) — 87% of its stories - [Usage & adoption](https://abovethefog.app/themes/usage_adoption.md) — 14% of its stories - [Agents](https://abovethefog.app/themes/agents.md) — 13% of its stories - [Protocols & infra](https://abovethefog.app/themes/protocols_infra.md) — 9.4% of its stories - [Companies & business](https://abovethefog.app/themes/companies_business.md) — 8.1% of its stories - [Security & safety](https://abovethefog.app/themes/security_safety.md) — 6.7% of its stories ## Related topics - **Related to:** [DeepSeek Harness](https://abovethefog.app/topics/deepseek_harness.md), [Edge0](https://abovethefog.app/topics/edge0.md), [Garry Tan](https://abovethefog.app/topics/garry_tan.md), [Hermes Agent](https://abovethefog.app/topics/hermes_agent.md), [Hugging Face](https://abovethefog.app/topics/hugging_face.md), [Mistral AI](https://abovethefog.app/topics/mistral.md), [OpenCode](https://abovethefog.app/topics/opencode.md), [OpenRouter](https://abovethefog.app/topics/openrouter.md) - **Mentioned with:** [MiMo-V2.6](https://abovethefog.app/topics/mimo_v2_6.md) (25 stories), [MiMo](https://abovethefog.app/topics/mimo.md) (25 stories), [Gemma](https://abovethefog.app/topics/gemma.md) (25 stories), [Decision models](https://abovethefog.app/topics/decision_models.md) (19 stories), [LMArena](https://abovethefog.app/topics/lmarena.md) (14 stories), [MiniMax](https://abovethefog.app/topics/minimax.md) (11 stories) ## Hype score, last 30 days | Day | Hype score | Stage | |---|---:|---| | Sep 27, 2026 | 2.6 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 26, 2026 | 2.1 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 25, 2026 | 4.5 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 24, 2026 | 13.5 | 🧊 Cooling | | Sep 23, 2026 | 2.4 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 22, 2026 | 31 | 🚀 Rising | | Sep 21, 2026 | 6.6 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 20, 2026 | 14.7 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 19, 2026 | 2.3 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 18, 2026 | 10.5 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 17, 2026 | 21.5 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 16, 2026 | 14.6 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 15, 2026 | 15.4 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 14, 2026 | 18.8 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 13, 2026 | 21.5 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 12, 2026 | 2.5 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 11, 2026 | 10.2 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 10, 2026 | 11.2 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 9, 2026 | 2.6 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 8, 2026 | 21.6 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 7, 2026 | 0.7 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 6, 2026 | 0 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 5, 2026 | 1 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 4, 2026 | 10.4 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 3, 2026 | 10.8 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 2, 2026 | 0 | 💤 Quiet | | Sep 1, 2026 | 4.1 | 💤 Quiet | | Aug 31, 2026 | 6.3 | 💤 Quiet | | Aug 30, 2026 | 0.3 | 💤 Quiet | | Aug 29, 2026 | 12.6 | 💤 Quiet | [Open Open-weight models in the interactive map →](https://abovethefog.app/#topic=open_weights) --- Updated Sep 28, 2026, 22:02 UTC · Data: Above the Fog hype radar [HTML page](https://abovethefog.app/topics/open_weights) · [llms.txt](https://abovethefog.app/llms.txt) · [About & methodology](https://abovethefog.app/about.md) · [Privacy](https://abovethefog.app/about.md#privacy)